Another good post from the “Heavy Topsin” blog. The author looks into statictics for returners and shows us who are the hardest players to ace. He also offers a lot of good explanations. Here are some excerpts (the article was posted on March 26th).
Last night, Florian Mayer solved the John Isner serve, breaking the American three times en route to a straight-set victory. Over the last 52 weeks, Isner has amassed a 17.1% ace rate, meaning that about one in six of his serves are untouchable. Last night, he barely managed 10%, as Mayer allowed him only six aces. As it turns out, last night was an aberration for the German. Mayer is below-average at ace prevention, allowing 8% more aces than an average player, ranking 80th among the 139 active players whose results I analyzed.
By contrast, the best returners get their racquets on just about everything. Atop the list is Gael Monfils, who allows barely half the aces that we would expect him to. The top eight returners all reduce expected ace rates by at least a third.
Here are the top 3 returners when it comes to not getting aced. Click below to see the whole article and the whole list.
Player Rank Matches vAce% expAce% Diff Gael Monfils 1 62 3.5% 6.8% -48% Benoit Paire 2 23 3.8% 6.3% -40% Andy Murray 3 81 4.4% 7.3% -39% CLICK HERE for the entire article